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OZARBAYJONDA DEMOGRAFIK RIVOJLANISHGA TA’SIR ETUVCHI OMILLAR VA ULARDAN FOYDALANISH IMKONIYATLARI

Tashkilotlar
a Ozarbayjon davlat neft va sanoat universiteti
b Ozarbayjon davlat neft va sanoat universiteti

Annotatsiya

Ushbu tadqiqot Ozarbayjonda demografik rivojlanish jarayonlarini tizimli va kompleks yondashuv asosida chuqur tahlil qiladi hamda demografik o‘zgarishlarga ta’sir etuvchi asosiy omillarni aniqlaydi. Tadqiqot 1991–2024 yillar oralig‘idagi uzoq muddatli statistik ma’lumotlarga asoslanib, aholi soni dinamikasi, urbanizatsiya jarayonlari, uy xo‘jaligi tuzilmasi, yosh tarkibi va asosiy demografik ko‘rsatkichlarning evolyutsiyasini o‘rganadi.

Natijalar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, Ozarbayjon demografik o‘tish nazariyasining III va IV bosqichlari oralig‘ida joylashgan bo‘lib, tug‘ilish darajasining barqaror pasayishi, urbanizatsiyaning jadallashuvi va aholining qarish jarayonining boshlanishi bilan tavsiflanadi. Tadqiqotda iqtisodiy omillar — xususan, yalpi ichki mahsulot o‘sishi, bandlik darajasi va daromadlar — demografik xulq-atvorga sezilarli darajada ta’sir ko‘rsatishi empirik jihatdan asoslab berilgan.

Tadqiqotning ilmiy yangiligi shundaki, unda demografik rivojlanishga ta’sir etuvchi omillar tizimli ravishda tasniflanib, ularning o‘zaro bog‘liqligi va bir-birini kuchaytiruvchi xarakteri kompleks model asosida izohlanadi. Bundan tashqari, iqtisodiy o‘sish va tabiiy aholi o‘sishi o‘rtasidagi salbiy bog‘liqlik milliy kontekstda empirik tarzda aniqlanadi.

Mazkur tadqiqot demografik o‘tish jarayonining mamlakatga xos xususiyatlarini ochib berib, barqaror demografik va ijtimoiy-iqtisodiy siyosatni shakllantirish uchun muhim nazariy va amaliy asos yaratadi.

Kalit so'zlar

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