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O‘ZBEKISTON UCHUN GRAVITATSION SAVDO MODELI

DOI 10.67668/LEHC/voliss/471 Google Scholar Scholar’da qidirish Betlar 416-424

Nashr etilgan 2023-10-19

Mualliflar
Nurbek Xalimjonov a , Piratdin Allayarov b
Tashkilotlar
a Toshkent Davlat Iqtisodiyot Universiteti image/svg+xml
b Toshkent Davlat Iqtisodiyot Universiteti image/svg+xml
PDF (inglizcha) Yuklab olish

Annotatsiya

Umumlashtirilgan gravitatsiya modeli O‘zbekiston va uning asosiy savdo hamkorlari o‘rtasidagi tovar ayirboshlashni panel ma’lumotlar smetasi texnikasidan foydalangan holda tahlil qilish uchun qo‘llaniladi va ikki tomonlama savdoni tahlil qilishda undan foydalanishning nazariy asoslarini yaratishga harakat qilinadi. Savdoning gravitatsion modeli (eksport va importning umumiy hajmi), eksportning tortish modeli va importning tortishish modeli hisoblangan. Bizning xulosalarimiz shuni ko‘rsatadiki, iqtisodiyotlarning kattaligi, aholi jon boshiga to‘g‘ri keladigan yalpi ichki mahsulotdagi farqlar va savdo qiluvchi mamlakatlarning ochiqligi O‘zbekiston bilan savdoga ijobiy ta’sir ko‘rsatmoqda. O‘zbekiston eksporti asosan valyuta kursi, sheriklarning umumiy import talabi va O‘zbekistonning iqtisodiy ochiqligi bilan belgilanadi. O‘zbekiston eksportiga ijobiy ta’sir ko‘rsatayotgan uch omil ham. Aksincha, valyuta kursining O‘zbekiston importiga ta’siri yo‘q, buning o‘rniga inflyatsiya sur’atlari, aholi jon boshiga to‘g‘ri keladigan daromadlarning nomutanosibligi va ishtirokchi davlatlarning savdo ochiqligi ta’sir ko‘rsatadi. Tashish narxi O‘zbekiston savdosiga sezilarli darajada salbiy ta’sir ko‘rsatishi aniqlangan. Oʻzbekiston va Qozogʻiston oʻrtasidagi chegara ham Oʻzbekistonga importga sezilarli taʼsir koʻrsatishi isbotlangan. Mamlakatga xos ta’sirlar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, O‘zbekiston qo‘shnilari bilan savdo aylanmasini oshirsa, yanada gullab-yashnaydi. Ko‘p tomonlama to‘siqlar bilan bog‘liq omillar O‘zbekiston eksporti va savdosiga ijobiy ta’sir ko‘rsatmoqda.

Kalit so‘zlar

Gravitatsiya Modeli, Eksport modeli, Import modeli, Panel Data, O‘zbekistan savdosi

Adabiyotlar

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