EVALUATION OF ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING EXPORT PRACTICES IN THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
Abstract
The article carried out a scientific analytical development using econometric models of export practices and factors influencing it. since the data is generated from multivariate time series, the econometric equations were developed using the distributed lag autoregression model ARDL (Distributed lag autoregression). For the development of export practice and its influence in our country, 23-year indicators of data from the Central Bank and the World Bank were used. A graphic matrix of time series based on the ARDL model was also developed. The correlation matrix of correlations of dependent and independent variables, unit root measures to test for stationarity, the associated cointegration test, and the regression equation of the ARDL model were tested. Also, the developed regression equation of the ARDL model was tested using significant Gauss-Markov conditions and the Kusum diagnostic test. The study presents the approaches and proposals of the author.Keywords
Export practice, macroeconomic indicators, logistics system, exchange rate, inflation, investment in fixed capital, national economy, econometric modeling
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